Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Mobile Home Vote (Appendix)

I have done a bit of analysis on the current electoral position of the 2004 Presidential Race. The data clearly shows that while the nation is very divided between our candidates the following holds true:

Kerry is favored by those states that have:

  • higher personal income per capita
  • higher percentage of college graduates
  • higher percentage of professionals and managers
  • better quality primary and secondary education
  • lower percentage of teen births
  • lower percentage of mobile homes
  • lower percentage of obesity

Bush correspondingly is favored by those states that have:

  • lower personal income per capita
  • lower percentage of college graduates
  • lower percentage of professionals and managers
  • lower quality primary and secondary education
  • higher percentage of teen births
  • higher percentage of mobile homes
  • higher percentage of obesity

Conclusions: I just thought I saw some empirical trends and figured I'd take a stab at analyzing a bit further. Causation / Correlation / Relevance / Spin? I'll leave it the reader. :-)

For links to all sources used, please see the end of this page.

 

A. Personal Income Per Capita in Constant (1996) Dollars, 2002




B. Persons with Bachelor's Degree or More, 2002




C. Management, Professional and Related Occupations, Percent of Employed, 2001




D. Primary and Secondary Education Quality and Efficiency

(based on 21 factors that compare the 50 states in more than 400 elementary and secondary education categories. Factors considered include per pupil expenditures, public high school graduation rates, average class size, student reading, writing and math proficiency, and pupil-teacher ratios and teacher salaries as a percent of average annual pay.)
 




E. Teen Births (percent of total births to teens) 2001




F. Mobile Homes, Percent of Total Housing Units, 2000




G. Obesity, Percent of Obese Adults

Sources:

State Rankings:
A, B, C, F - US Census Bureau 2000-2002
D - Morgan Quitno Press 2004
E - Annie E. Casey Foundation
G - "F as in Fat: How Obesity Policies are Failing America," Trust for America's Health, Oct. 20, 2004. Shelley Hearne, executive director, Trust for America's Health. Georges Benjamin, MD, executive director, American Public Health Association.

Poll Data:
New York Times

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